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This study aims to analyze price discovery in the foreign exchange market in Brazil and indicate which market (spot or futures) adjusts more quickly to the arrival of new information. Using high frequency data from January/2008 to June/2013, we estimate the following price discovery metrics:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372252
The aim of this study is to evaluate the potential process of early deindustrialization in Brazil, or the reduction of the share of manufacturing in the added value, that occurred in a per capita income level that, according to the specialized literature, it is not justified. For this intent, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330662
This paper aims at assessing the effects of real exchange rate overvaluation over the export composition for developing countries in a time span of 1970-2004. For this intent, it is estimated an exchange rate overvaluation index by using panel cointegration techniques (Dynamic Ordinary Least...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330741
We estimate a VAR model of the Phillips curve with an exchange rate shock to the Brazilian economy. Several different specifications, with different time frequencies, were estimated. Overall the results were robust to these changes, and can be summed up in the following: i) the pass-through to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330807
We estimate the Phillips curve with an exchange rate shock to the Brazilian economy. Besides panel data, we estimate the Phillips curve by time series methodology, including Bayesian techniques and Smoothing Transition Regressions (STR) model. The econometric results show three important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330855
This article analyzes the exchange rate misalignment in Brazil in the period between 1994 and the early 2008, exploring its causes and consequences. The method used was to adjust the exchange rate according to the economic fundamentals. The estimations led to an expected long-term exchange rate,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330858