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The empirical determinants of the Euro: Short and long run perspectives

Chinn, Menzie David - 2000

The behavior of the dollar/euro exchange rate is modeled using a monetary model of the exchange rate. The econometric … analysis is complicated by the short sample span of actual euro data available for analysis. Hence, data on a synthetic euro …, is identified for the 1991M08-1999M12 period using the Johansen procedure. The model implies that the euro was …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010310195

On the (nonlinear) relationship between exchange rate uncertainty and trade: An investigation of US trade figures in the Group of Seven

Herwartz, Helmut - 2003

In this paper bilateral models formalizing monthly growth of US imports and exports are employed to investigate the potential of nonlinear relationships linking exchange rate uncertainty and trade growth. Parametric linear and nonlinear as well as semiparametric time series models are evaluated...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296439

Forecasting sectoral trade growth under flexible exchange rates

Herwartz, Helmut; Weber, Henning - 2003

A huge body of empirical and theoretical literature has emerged on the relationship between exchange rate uncertainty and international trade. In empirical studies the estimated impacts of exchange rate uncertainty on trade figures are at most weak and often ambiguous with respect to their...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296440