Showing 1 - 10 of 220
This paper investigates the information content of the Norges Bank's key rate projections. Wavelet spectrum estimates provide the basis for estimating jump probabilities of short- and long-term interest rates on monetary policy announcement days before and after the introduction of key rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281508
This paper examines whether the existence and the timing of real balance effects contribute to the determination of the absolute price level, as suggested by Patinkin (1949,1965), and if they affect conditions for local equilibrium uniqueness and stability. I show that there exists a unique...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263658
The publication of a projected path of future policy decisions by central banks is a controversially debated method to improve monetary policy guidance. This paper suggests a new approach to evaluate the impact of the guidance strategy on the predictability of monetary policy. Using the example...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319202
We establish estimation methods to determine co-jumps in multivariate high-frequency data with nonsynchronous observations and market microstructure noise. The ex-post quadratic covariation of the signal part, which is modeled by an Itˆo-semimartingale, is estimated with a locally adaptive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330968
This paper proposes a new econometric approach to disentangle two distinct response patterns of the yield curve to monetary policy announcements. Based on cojumps in intraday tick-data of a short and long term interest rate, we develop a day-wise test that detects the occurrence of a significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010331122
We introduce a statistical test for simultaneous jumps in the price of a financial asset and its volatility process. The proposed test is based on high-frequency tick-data and is robust to market microstructure frictions. To localize volatility jumps, we design and analyze a nonparametric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427053
This paper compares the effectiveness of date- and state-based forward guidance issued by the Federal Reserve since mid-2011 accounting for the influence of disagreement within the FOMC. Effectiveness is investigated through the lens of interest rates' sensitivity to macroeconomic news and I...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011580439
The uniqueness of bounded local equilibria under interest rate rules is analyzed in a model with sticky information à la Mankiw and Reis (2002). The main results are tighter bounds on monetary policy than in sticky-price models, irrelevance of the degree of output-gap targeting for determinacy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263742
This paper studies optimal monetary policy with the nominal interest rate as the single policy instrument in an economy,where firms set prices in a staggered way without indexation and real money balances contribute separately to households'utility. The optimal deterministic steady state under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265661
The maturity of the operational target of monetary policy is a distinguishing feature of the SNB's operational framework of monetary policy. While most central banks use targets for the overnight rate to signal the policy-intended interest rate level, the SNB announces a target range for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270728