Showing 1 - 6 of 6
We introduce a statistical test for simultaneous jumps in the price of a financial asset and its volatility process. The proposed test is based on high-frequency tick-data and is robust to market microstructure frictions. To localize volatility jumps, we design and analyze a nonparametric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010384595
We derive a nonparametric test for constant (continuous) beta over a fixed interval of time. Continuous beta is defined as the ratio of the continuous covariation between an asset and observable risk factor (e.g., the market return) and the continuous variation of the latter. Our test is based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010253467
This work develops change-point methods for statistics of high-frequency data. The main interest is the volatility of an Itô semi-martingale, which is discretely observed over a fixed time horizon. We construct a minimax-optimal test to discriminate different smoothness classes of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477582
For a semi-martingale Xt, which forms a stochastic boundary, a rate-optimal estimator for its quadratic variation (X;X)t is constructed based on observations in the vicinity of Xt. The problem is embedded in a Poisson point process framework, which reveals an interesting connection to the theory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412417
The increasing share of wind energy in the portfolio of energy sources highlights its uncertainties due to changing weather conditions. To account for the uncertainty in predicting wind power production, this article examines the volatility forecasting abilities of different GARCH-type models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529342
The EU Emission Trading System (EU ETS) was created to reduce the CO2 and other greenhouse gas emissions at the lowest economic cost. In reality market participants are faced with considerable uncertainty due to price changes and require price and volatility estimates and forecasts for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011747080