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are of a similar magnitude to those attained using macroeconomic indicators. We explain these forecast improvements with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011309614
A flexible statistical approach for the analysis of time-varying dynamics of transaction data on financial markets is here applied to intra-day trading strategies. A local adaptive technique is used to successfully predict financial time series, i.e., the buyer and the seller-initiated trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374563
estimation techniques. The methodology is applied to electricity market data from Germany. We find that renewable infeed effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538153
Many companies depend on weather conditions, so they require reliable weather forecasts for production planning or risk hedging. In this article, we propose a new way of gaining weather forecasts by exploiting the forward-looking information included in the market prices of weather derivatives...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009673728
forecasts and probabilistic prediction intervals for demographic parameters in addition. Age-sex specific population forecast …-specific population forecast using the cohort-component method. The consequence for the German pension system is discussed. To maintain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003814452
The increasing share of wind energy in the portfolio of energy sources highlights its uncertainties due to changing weather conditions. To account for the uncertainty in predicting wind power production, this article examines the volatility forecasting abilities of different GARCH-type models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529342
to forecast financial markets volatility. The real data in this study uses British Pound-US Dollar (GBP) daily exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636113
We model the dynamics of ask and bid curves in a limit order book market using a dynamic semiparametric factor model. The shape of the curves is captured by a factor structure which is estimated nonparametrically. Corresponding factor loadings are assumed to follow multivariate dynamics and are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003881566
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003324453
Publications are a vital element of any scientist’s career. It is not only the number of media outlets but aslo the quality of published research that enters decisions on jobs, salary, tenure, etc. Academic ranking scales in economics and other disciplines are, therefore, widely used in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011459002