Showing 1 - 10 of 114
In Bayesian analysis of VAR-models, and especially in forecasting applications, the Minnesota prior of Litterman is … report on the forecasting performance of the different prior distributions considered in the paper. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005649366
We propose a seasonal cointegration model [SECM] for quarterly data which includes variables with different numbers of unit roots and thus needs to be transformed in different ways in order to yield stationarity. A Monte Carlo simulation is carried out to investigate the consequences of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281215
-dimensional macroeconomic data set. Results show that the seasonal cointegration model improves forecasting accuracy, compared with the standard … by Johansen and Schaumburg seems to work better than the original model presented by Lee (1992). An empirical forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005190852
forecasting study. We include both single equation and multiple equation methods. A VAR model in first differences with and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005649206
We propose a seasonal cointegration model [SECM] for quarterly data which includes variables with different numbers of unit roots and thus needs to be transformed in different ways in order to yield stationarity. A Monte Carlo simulation is carried out to investigate the consequences of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005649231
several of its variants. We put emphasis on new methods for testing for STAR nonlinearity, model evaluation, and forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005649222
This paper contains a forecasting exercise on 30 time series, ranging on several fields, from economy to ecology. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281250
This paper contains a forecasting exercise on 30 time series, ranging on several fields, from economy to ecology. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005190861
We use Bayesian techniques to select factors in a general multifactor asset pricing model. From a given set of 15 factors we evaluate all possible pricing models by the extent to which they describe the data as given by the posterior model probabilities. Interest rates, premiums, returns on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281324
We use Bayesian techniques to select factors in a general multifactor asset pricing model. From a given set of 15 factors we evaluate all possible pricing models by the extent to which they describe the data as given by the posterior model probabilities. Interest rates, premiums, returns on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423773