Showing 1 - 10 of 119
This paper contains a forecasting exercise on 30 time series, ranging on several fields, from economy to ecology. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281250
This paper contains a forecasting exercise on 30 time series, ranging on several fields, from economy to ecology. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005190861
This article is concerned with forecasting from nonlinear conditional mean models. First, a number of often applied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281245
perform feature extraction and estimation for different forecasting horizons. The inference aspect is emphasized by including … a penalty for a wrong decision in the cost function. The method is tested by forecasting turning points in the Swedish …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281409
imposing it, when forecasting, and that the ML estimator is preferred. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423845
This paper considers nine long Swedish macroeconomic time series whose business cycle properties were discussed by Englund, Persson, and Svensson (1992) using frequency domain techniques. It is found by testing that all but two of the logarithmed and difference series are non-linear. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423876
This paper examines the predictability memory of fractionally integrated ARMA processes. Very long memory is found for positively fractionally integrated processes with large positive AR parameters. However, negative AR parameters absorb, to a great extent, the memory generated by a positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005190887
In two recent papers, Granger and Ding (1995a, b) considered long return series that are first differences of logarithmed price series or price indices. They established a set of temporal and distributional properties for such series and suggested that the returns are well characterized by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005649155
to perform feature extraction and estimation for different forecasting horizons. The inference aspect is emphasized by … including a <p> penalty for a wrong decision in the cost function. The method is tested by forecasting turning points in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005649191
This article is concerned with forecasting from nonlinear conditional mean models. First, a number of often applied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005649211