Bohm, Peter; Sonnegard, Joakim - In: Scandinavian Journal of Economics 101 (1999) 2, pp. 205-22
A political stock market (PSM) clearly beat the polls in predicting the outcome of a Swedish referendum on whether or not Sweden should join the European Union. In fact, polls were unable to make such predictions since the number of undecided respondents always far exceeded the observed YES/NO...