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A large catalog of variables with no apparent connection to risk has been shown to forecast stock returns, both in the time series and the cross-section. For instance, we see medium-term momentum and post-earnings drift in returns—the tendency for stocks that have had unusually high past...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010549988
We develop a model in which a firm can devote effort either to increasing sales growth, or to improving per-unit profit margins. If the firm's manager cares about the current stock price, she will favor the growth strategy when the market pays more attention to growth numbers. Conversely, it can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010550048
Theory suggests that, in the presence of local bias, the price of a stock should be decreasing in the ratio of the aggregate book value of firms in its region to the aggregate risk tolerance of investors in its region. Using data on U.S. states and Census regions, we find clear-cut support for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010796386
I develop a model of bilateral conversations in which players honestly exchange ideas with their competitors. The key to incentive compatibility is a complementarity in the information structure: a player can only generate a new insight if he has access to his counterpart’s previous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011140018