Showing 1 - 10 of 47
We propose a novel theory of financial contagion. We study global coordination games of regime change in two regions … attacks, bank runs and debt crises, our theory of contagion is supported by existing evidence and generates a new testable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010508402
We analyze how a wealth shift to emerging countries may lead to instability in developed countries. Investors exposed to expropriation risk are willing to pay a safety premium to invest in countries with good property rights. Domestic intermediaries compete for such cheap funding by carving out...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011304762
This paper analyzes the impact of Covid-19 and uncooperative trade policies on world food markets. It quantifies the … percent on average. Escalating export restrictions would multiply the initial shock by a factor of 3, with world food prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833536
The world economy has experienced four global recessions over the past seven decades: in 1975, 1982, 1991, and 2009 … internationally, with severe economic and financial disruptions in many countries around the world. The 2009 global recession, set off …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840241
Although emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) weathered the global recession a decade ago relatively well, they now appear less well placed to cope with the substantial downside risks facing the global economy. In many EMDEs, the room for monetary and fiscal policies to respond to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841602
Emerging market and developing economies have experienced recurrent episodes of rapid debt accumulation over the past fifty years. This paper examines the consequences of debt accumulation using a three-pronged approach: an event study of debt accumulation episodes in 100 emerging market and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843341
1958 and 2015, which reflects the entire set of preferential trade agreements in force and notified to the World Trade … World Trade Organization mandate and in four leading areas outside the current World Trade Organization mandate: competition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962302
shipment times and trade costs. For the world, the average reduction in shipment time will range between 1.2 and 2.5 percent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909447
Decades of services trade negotiations have produced a plethora of rules and commitments but limited real liberalization. One reason is a form of "negotiating tunnel vision," which has led to a focus on reciprocal market opening rather than on creating the regulatory preconditions for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911376
The paper studies the extent of global inflation synchronization using a dynamic factor model in a large set of countries over a half century. The authors' methodology allows them to account for differences across groups of countries (advanced economies and emerging market and developing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891045