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We propose a novel theory of financial contagion. We study global coordination games of regime change in two regions … attacks, bank runs and debt crises, our theory of contagion is supported by existing evidence and generates a new testable …
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This paper analyzes the implications of the global financial cycle for conventional and unconventional monetary policies and macroprudential policy in small, open economies such as Canada. The paper starts by summarizing recent work on financial cycles and their growing correlation across...
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We analyze how a wealth shift to emerging countries may lead to instability in developed countries. Investors exposed to expropriation risk are willing to pay a safety premium to invest in countries with good property rights. Domestic intermediaries compete for such cheap funding by carving out...
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that the convenience yield curve is well explained by a level and a slope factor. Consistent with the theory of storage …
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Government interventions such as bailouts are often implemented in times of high uncertainty. Policymakers may therefore rely on information from financial markets to guide their decisions. We propose a model in which a policymaker learns from market activity and where market participants have...
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