Showing 1 - 10 of 14
This paper investigates the dynamic consistency of CEU preferences. A decision maker is faced with an information structure represented by a fixed filtration. If beliefs are represented by a convex capacity, we show that a necessary and sufficient condition for dynamic consistency is that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005592908
We examine the impact of ambiguity on economic behaviour. We present a relatively non-technical account of ambiguity and show how it may be applied in economics. Optimistic and pessimistic responses to ambiguity are formally modelled. We show that pessimism has the effect of increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005761123
If players' beliefs are strictly non-additive, the Dempster-Shafer updating rule can be used to define beliefs off the equilibrium path. We define an equilibrium concept in sequential two-person games where players update their beliefs with the Dempster-Shafer updating rule. We show that in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005761163
In this paper we consider the effect of ambiguity on the private provision of public goods. Equilibrium is shown to exist and be unique. We examine how provision of the public good changes as the size of the population increases. We show that when there is uncertainty there may be less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005761171
We present a non-technical account of ambiguity in strategic games and show how it may be applied to economics and social sciences. Optimistic and pessimistic responses to ambiguity are formally modelled. We show that pessimism has the effect of increasing (decreasing)equilibrium prices under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005628226
Ambiguity refers to a decision situation under uncertainty when there is incomplete information about the likelihood of events. Different formal models of this notion have been developed with differing implications about the representation of ambiguity and ambiguity aversion.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005628287
Goeree & Holt (2001) observe that, for some parameter values, Nash equilibrium provides good predictions for actual behaviour in experiments. For other payoff parameters, however, actual behaviour deviates consistently from that predicted by Nash equilibria. They attribute the robust deviations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005628310
The concept of a non-extreme-outcome-additive capacity (neo-additive capacity ) is introduced. Neo-additive capacities model optimistic and pessimistic attitudes towards uncer-tainty as observed in many experimental studies. Moreover, neo-additive capacities can be applied easily in economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005761204
This note shows that capacities satisfying the axioms consquentialism, state independence and conditional certainty equivalent consistency under updating are a generalised version of neoadditive capacities as axiomatised in Chateauneuf, Eichberger, and Grant (2007). 1
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005585763
We provide a set of simple and intuitive axioms that allow for a direct and constructive proof of the Choquet Expected Utility representation for decision making under uncertainty.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005628331