This book pursues a nonlinear approach in considering both chaotic dynamical models and agent-based simulation models of economics, as well as their dynamical behaviors. Three key concepts arising in this context are “nonlinearity,” “bounded rationality” and “heterogeneity,” which...

The field of artificial economics (AE) embraces a broad range of methodologies relying on computer simulations in order to model and study the complexity of economic and social phenomena. The overarching principle of AE is the analysis of aggregate properties of artificial economies populated by...

Introduction -- Technological Progress: Logistic Growth or Singularity -- Artificial Intelligence -- Artificial Happiness -- Issues in Artificial Intelligence -- Artificial Intelligence in Economics: ACE -- Economics of Artificial Intelligence -- State of the Art, Challenges for AGI

Markets and Trading -- Agent’s Minimal Intelligence Calibration for Realistic Market Dynamics -- Trading on Marginal Information -- Stylized Facts Study through a Multi-Agent Based Simulation of an Artificial Stock Market -- Auctions -- A Variable Bid Increment Algorithm for Reverse English...

This open access book analyzes and seeks to consolidate the use of robust quantitative tools and qualitative methods for the design and assessment of energy and climate policies. In particular, it examines energy and climate policy performance and associated risks, as well as public acceptance...

Managing Uncertainty, Mitigating Risk proposes that financial risk management broaden its approach, maintaining quantification where possible, but incorporating uncertainty. The author shows that by using broad quantification techniques, and using reason as the guiding principle, practitioners...

This textbook offers a comprehensive analysis of medical decision making under uncertainty by combining Test Information Theory with Expected Utility Theory. The book shows how the parameters of Bayes’ theorem can be combined with a value function of health states to arrive at informed test...

In this book, experts discuss whether volatility, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity (VUCA) represent a challenge or a business opportunity. More intense debates on global climate change, increased turbulence in financial quarters, increased job insecurity and high levels of stress at the...

This book explores why Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and Net Present Value (NPV) are not necessarily accurate or efficient tools for valuation and decision-making. The author specifically addresses the discounting biases and framing effects inherent in the NPV/MIRR/IRR model and in related...