Managing Uncertainty, Mitigating Risk proposes that financial risk management broaden its approach, maintaining quantification where possible, but incorporating uncertainty. The author shows that by using broad quantification techniques, and using reason as the guiding principle, practitioners...

In this book, experts discuss whether volatility, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity (VUCA) represent a challenge or a business opportunity. More intense debates on global climate change, increased turbulence in financial quarters, increased job insecurity and high levels of stress at the...

The scope of this volume is primarily to analyze from different methodological perspectives similar valuation and optimization problems arising in financial applications, aimed at facilitating a theoretical and computational integration between methods largely regarded as alternatives....

Framing the Risk Challenge -- Understanding the Hidden Risk of Dynamic Complexity -- Understanding the Nature of Risk -- Human Interaction and Perception of Risk -- Risk Evolves as Experience Evolves -- Why the Risk Comes as a Surprise -- Systemic and Systematic Risk -- How Risk is Currently...

The Phenomenon of VUCA and Complexity -- Perspectives on a VUCA World -- Simple More Complex: A System Approach to VUCA -- Leadership, Strategy and Planning -- Program Management in VUCA Environments: Theoretical and Pragmatical Thoughts on a Systemic Management of Projects and Programs --...

This book is intended to present the milestones in the progression of uncertain Data envelopment analysis (DEA). Chapter 1 gives some basic introduction to uncertain theories, including probability theory, credibility theory, uncertainty theory and chance theory. Chapter 2 presents a...

Random Set Theory -- Random Multiple Objective Decision Making -- Bi-random Multiple Objective Decision Making -- Random Fuzzy Multiple Objective Decision Making -- Random Rough Multiple Objective Decision Making -- Methodological System for RLMODM -- Some Mathematical Aids -- Some Procedures

General Remarks on Robust Solutions -- Modeling of Uncertainty and Probabilistic Issues -- On Joint Modelling of Random Uncertainty and Fuzzy Imprecision -- On the Approximation of a Discrete Multivariate Probability Distribution Using the New Concept of -Cherry Junction Tree -- Robust Solutions...

Managing safety of diverse systems requires decision-making under uncertainties and risks. Such systems are typically characterized by spatio-temporal heterogeneities, inter-dependencies, externalities, endogenous risks, discontinuities, irreversibility, practically irreducible uncertainties,...

Ongoing global changes pose fundamentally new scientific problems requiring new concepts and tools. A key issue concerns a vast variety of practically irreducible uncertainties, which challenge traditional models and require new concepts and analytical tools. Uncertainty can dominate, as in the...