During the past few years all the regions of Europe have suffered from the effects of the World Financial Crisis. Most notably in Eastern Europe, countries have adopted different approaches to combat the crisis and the impact has been varying - politically, economically and socially. This book...

This book is a quarterly forecast and analysis report on the Chinese economy. It is published twice a year and presents ongoing result from the “China Quarterly Macroeconomic Model (CQMM),” a research project at the Center for Macroeconomic Research (CMR) at Xiamen University. Based on the...

This book explores how to set up an empirical model that helps with forecasting long-term economic growth in a large number of countries. It offers a systematic approach to models of potential GDP that can also be used for forecasts of more than a decade. It is an attempt to fill the wide gap...

Owing to the decline in domestic investment and trade with the rest of the world, China’s real GDP in the first half of 2012 was lower than expected. Based on forecasts from China’s Quarterly Macroeconomic Model (CQMM), the slowdown of the growth rate in 2013 will be moderate as a result of...

Review of China’s Macroeconomic Performance in 2012 -- Forecast of China’s Macroeconomic Outlook for 2013-2014 -- Policy Simulations -- Policy Implications and Suggestions -- Comments and Discussions.

Preface -- Introduction -- Chapter 1 A Review of China’s Economy in the First Half of 2015 -- Chapter 2 China’s Macroeconomic Forecast from 2015 to 2016 -- Chapter 3 Policy Simulation: Macro Effects of Interest Rate Liberalization -- Chapter 4 Optimization of Economic Structure and China’s...

As the sluggish external market demand and excess domestic investment in past years have caused excess production capacity, resulting in both industrial growth rate and GDP growth rate falling to lowest point for the last three years in China. Where would China’s economy go? China’s...

Introduction -- A Review of China’s Economy in 2014 -- Forecast of China’s Economy for 2015-2016 -- Policy Simulations -- Policy Implications and Suggestions -- Comments and Discussion -- A Report of the Questionnaire Survey on the Macroeconomic Situation and Policy of China in 2015.