Earnings forecasts are ubiquitous in today’s financial markets. They are essential indicators of future firm performance and a starting point for firm valuation. Extremely inaccurate and overoptimistic forecasts during the most recent financial crisis have raised serious doubts regarding the...

Grundlagen -- Auswirkungen der Verwendung verrauschter PD-Schätzungen auf die Höhe des regulatorischen Kapitals gemäß Basel II -- Winner's Curse als mögliche Folge verrauschter PD-Schätzungen -- Auswirkungen einer Verrauschung der PD-Schätzungen auf die Ergebnisse der quantitativen...

The Role of Profit in Advanced Market Economies -- Profit System Models of the Firm, Industry, and Business Sector -- A Macroeconomic Profit System Model of Advanced Market Economies -- Profit System Models of the Corporate Sector -- Profit System Models for Industries -- A Profit System Model...

What kind of corporate- and intercultural problems do German companies encounter on the path towards globally operating enterprises? To what extent should they hold on to, adjust or abandon their long-established values and practices in a new business environment? What must they particularly...

Grundlagen der Optionspreistheorie -- Extrahierung der risikoneutralen Wahrscheinlichkeitsdichtefunktion -- Anwendungsgebiete risikoneutraler Wahrscheinlichkeitsdichtefunktionen -- Empirische Untersuchungen -- Zusammenfassung und Schlussfolgerungen.

Chapter1:Records and Information Management for Financial Analysis and Risk Management -- Chapter 2: Monitoring Financial Stability in a Complex World -- Chapter 3: The Office of Financial Research and Operation Risk -- Chapter 4: Using Conceptual Models to Theorize about the Relationship...

Chapter 1: Why do we forecast? -- Chapter 2: Regression Analysis and Forecasting Models -- Chapter 3: An Introduction to Time Series Modeling and Forecasting -- Chapter 4: Regression Analysis and Multicollinearity: Two Case Studies -- Chapter 5: Multiple Time Series Analysis and Causality...

Literature Review -- Return Predictability and the Real Economy -- Study Design and Data -- Empirical Part I - Testing for Predictability -- Forecasting Models -- Empirical Part II - Investment Strategies -- Conclusion