This book deals with dynamic and stochastic methods for multi-project planning. Based on the idea of using queueing networks for the analysis of dynamic-stochastic multi-project environments this book addresses two problems: detailed scheduling of project activities, and integrated order...

1. Introduction -- 2. Closed Queueing Networks -- 3. Literature Review -- 4. Decomposition Approach -- 5. Markov-chain Approach -- 6. Distribution of the Time between Processing Starts -- 7. Conclusion

Introduction -- Manufacturing and Re-manufacturing Systems -- A Hidden Markov Model for Customer Classification -- Markov Decision Processes for Customer Lifetime Value -- Higher-order Markov Chains -- Multivariate Markov Chains -- Hidden Markov Chains

This thesis presents a new strategy that unites qualitative and quantitative mass data in form of text news and tick-by-tick asset prices to forecast the risk of upcoming volatility shocks. Holger Kömm embeds the proposed strategy in a monitoring system, using first, a sequence of competing...

Researchers, policymakers and commentators have long debated the patterns through which adverse shocks in a few markets may quickly spread to a range of apparently disconnected financial markets causing widespread losses and turmoil. This book uses modern linear and non-linear econometric...

Inhaltsverzeichnis -- Einführung -- Erzeugung von Zufallsvariablen -- Ereignisorientierte Simulation -- Output Analyse: Statistische Auswertung der Simulationsergebnisse -- Statische Simulationsmodelle -- Input Analyse: Festlegung der Eingabegrößen -- Varianzreduzierende Verfahren --...

This book examines contractual options for a performance based contract between an owner of a revenue generating unit and a repair agent for such unit. The framework of the analysis is that of economists' principal-agent problem. The contractual options of a principal and an agent are modeled as...

Robustification of an on-line EM algorithm for modelling asset prices within an HMM -- Stochastic volatility or stochastic central tendency: evidence from a hidden Markov model of the short-term interest rate -- An econometric model of the term structure of interest rates under regime-switching...

Wirtschaftlichkeitsuntersuchungen und gesundheitsökonomische Evaluation -- Methodik der Entscheidungsanalyse -- Entwicklung eines Markov-Modells -- Ergebnisse der Basisfallbetrachtung, Sensitivitäts- und Szenarioanalysen des Fallbeispiels.

A number of methodologies have been employed to provide decision making solutions globalized markets. Hidden Markov Models in Finance offers the first systematic application of these methods to specialized financial problems: option pricing, credit risk modeling, volatility estimation and more....