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Why should we be interested in macroeconomic survey expectations? This important book offers an in-depth treatment of this question from a point of view not covered in existing works on time-series econometrics and forecasting. Clements presents the nature of survey data, addresses some of the...
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This book explores how to set up an empirical model that helps with forecasting long-term economic growth in a large number of countries. It offers a systematic approach to models of potential GDP that can also be used for forecasts of more than a decade. It is an attempt to fill the wide gap...
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Economic Forecasting provides a comprehensive overview of macroeconomic forecasting. The focus is first on a wide range of theories as well as empirical methods: business cycle analysis, time series methods, macroeconomic models, medium and long-run projections, fiscal and financial forecasts,...
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Economic Forecasting provides a comprehensive overview of macroeconomic forecasting. The focus is first on a wide range of theories as well as empirical methods: business cycle analysis, time series methods, macroeconomic models, medium and long-run projections, fiscal and financial forecasts,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012053923
Kapitalmarktheoretische Beta-Erklärungsansätze -- Verfahren zur Ermittlung des Betafaktors bei nicht börsennotierten Unternehmen(steilen) -- Zusammenhänge fundamentaler Kennzahlen und Beta -- Panelanalytisches Beta-Zusammenhangs- und Prognosemodell -- Multifaktor Beta-Modelle.
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Angaben zu Umschlag (U4) Dieses essential beschäftigt sich mit der Frage, wie Zukunftsforschung in Unternehmen stattfindet. Zu diesem Zweck wurden Unternehmen aus Industrie, Handel und Logistikdienstleistung schriftlich befragt. Die Betrachtung richtet sich dabei auf professionelle, methodisch...
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. - Gemischte Prognoseverfahren. - Prognoseevaluation. - Prognoseintervalle. - Makroökonomische Prognosen für Deutschland … Datierung -- Konjunkturindikatoren -- Zeitreihenmodelle -- Prognosen mit Strukturmodellen -- Intuitive Prognoseverfahren … Strukturmodellen.- Intuitive Prognoseverfahren. - Gemischte Prognoseverfahren. - Prognoseevaluation. - Prognoseintervalle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014018107
This thesis presents a new strategy that unites qualitative and quantitative mass data in form of text news and tick-by-tick asset prices to forecast the risk of upcoming volatility shocks. Holger Kömm embeds the proposed strategy in a monitoring system, using first, a sequence of competing...
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