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Inflation versus Price-Level Targeting : Bayesian Estimation of a Small Open DSGE Model for Switzerland

Heim, Lukas - 2015

, and several additional structural disturbances. The results show that - exactly as expected - the volatility of inflation …Lukas Heim evaluates the performance of a price-level targeting rule compared to that of a standard inflation targeting … is quite significantly lower under the price-level targeting regime, whereas the volatility of the output gap is markedly …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012819094

Ifo Survey Data in Business Cycle and Monetary Policy Analysis

Sturm, Jan-Egbert (contributor); … - 2005

"The business surveys of the ifo Institute (short for ""Information und Forschung"") are internationally renowned. Every month close to 7,000 enterprises are questioned on their short-term planning and their appraisals of the actual and future business situation. The confidence indicator...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013520576

Konjunkturdiagnose und -prognose : Eine anwendungsorientierte Einführung

Döhrn, Roland - 2014

Datierung -- Konjunkturindikatoren -- Zeitreihenmodelle -- Prognosen mit Strukturmodellen -- Intuitive Prognoseverfahren …. - Gemischte Prognoseverfahren. - Prognoseevaluation. - Prognoseintervalle. - Makroökonomische Prognosen für Deutschland … zusammenwirken und zu einer praxistauglichen Prognose zusammengeführt werden können. Dabei wird auch auf die Datengrundlagen …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014018107

Economic Forecasting

Carnot, Nicolas; Koen, Vincent; Tissot, Bruno - 2005

Economic Forecasting provides a comprehensive overview of macroeconomic forecasting. The focus is first on a wide range of theories as well as empirical methods: business cycle analysis, time series methods, macroeconomic models, medium and long-run projections, fiscal and financial forecasts,...