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We provide a novel methodology for estimating time-varying weights in linear prediction pools, which we call dynamic pools, and use it to investigate the relative forecasting performance of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, with and without financial frictions, for output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011340986
generalized tempering for "online" estimation, and provide examples of multimodal posteriors that are well captured by SMC methods …. We then use the online estimation of the DSGE model to compute pseudo-out-of-sample density forecasts of DSGE models with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012144736
: estimation of parameters that are relevant for policy trade-offs and treatment of estimated deviations from the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283564