Showing 1 - 10 of 127
Home price expectations are believed to play an important role in housing dynamics, yet we have limited understanding …. These results are consistent with recent behavioral models of housing cycles. Finally, we present robust evidence of home … price expectations impacting (actual and intended) housing-related behaviors, both in the cross section and within-individual. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011796441
We study early default, defined as serious delinquency or foreclosure in the first year, among nonprime mortgages from the 2001 to 2007 vintages. After documenting a dramatic rise in such defaults and discussing their correlates, we examine two primary explanations: changes in underwriting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283552
Housing is a depreciating asset. The rate of depreciation depends on the degree to which households engage in housing … investments. Housing investment expenditures economy-wide are sizable, averaging 45 percent of the value of new home construction … over the past twenty years. The housing bust and recession coincided with a significant decline in housing investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333620
We provide a novel methodology for estimating time-varying weights in linear prediction pools, which we call dynamic pools, and use it to investigate the relative forecasting performance of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, with and without financial frictions, for output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011340986
It has been argued that existing DSGE models cannot properly account for the evolution of key macroeconomic variables during and following the recent Great Recession, and that models in which inflation depends on economic slack cannot explain the recent muted behavior of inflation, given the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333606
We study the implications of increased price flexibility on aggregate output volatility in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. First, using a simplified version of the model, we show analytically that the results depend on the shocks driving the economy and the systematic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287044
, the nature of the housing stock, and the organization of residential activity. We start by providing some background on … tax policy, to influence a household's decision to own or rent, and how shifts in the demand for owner-occupied housing … are translated into housing prices and quantities, given the unusual nature of housing supply. We consider the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011340954
We construct measures of the annual cost of single-family housing for 46 metropolitan areas in the United States over … the last 25 years and compare them with local rents and incomes as a way of judging the level of housing prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283465
-in, and property tax lock-in - on household mobility. We add the 2009 wave of the American Housing Survey (AHS) to our sample …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287152
The sensitivity of housing demand to mortgage rates and available leverage is key to understanding the effect of … monetary and macroprudential policies on the housing market. However, since there is generally no exogenous variation in these … financing scenarios. We vary down payment constraints, mortgage rates, and non-housing wealth. We find that a relaxation of down …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011340984