Showing 1 - 10 of 213
investment-specific technology shock, affects the transformation of consumption into investment goods and is identified with the … relative price of investment. The second shock affects the production of installed capital from investment goods or, more … broadly, the transformation of savings into future capital input. We find that this shock is the most important driver of U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283523
We study the implications of increased price flexibility on aggregate output volatility in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. First, using a simplified version of the model, we show analytically that the results depend on the shocks driving the economy and the systematic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287044
Although the effects of economic news announcements on asset prices are well established, theserelationships are unlikely to be stable. This paper documents the time variation in the responses of yield curves and exchange rates using high-frequency data from January 2000 through August 2011....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333621
We examine the dynamic effects of credit shocks using a large data set of U.S. economic and financial indicators in a structural factor model. The identified credit shocks, interpreted as unexpected deteriorations of credit market conditions, immediately increase credit spreads, decrease rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333628
.S. output and hours. Moreover, like a textbook demand shock, these disturbances drive prices higher in expansions. We reach …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283518
This paper reconsiders the cost of business cycles under incomplete markets. Primarily, we focus on the heterogeneity in the cost of business cycles among agents with different skill levels. Unskilled workers are subject to a much larger risk of unemployment during recessions than are skilled...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283400
The U.S. business cycle expansion that started in March 1991 is the longest on record. This paper uses statistical techniques to examine whether this expansion is a onetime unique event or whether its length is a result of a change in the stability of the U.S. economy. Bayesian methods are used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283318
The housing boom that preceded the Great Recession was the result of an increase in credit supply driven by looser lending constraints in the mortgage market. This view on the fundamental drivers of the boom is consistent with four empirical observations: the unprecedented rise in home prices,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011340978
We document the emergence of a disconnect between mortgage and Treasury interest rates in the summer of 2003. Following the end of the Federal Reserve's expansionary cycle in June 2003, mortgage rates failed to rise according to their historical relationship with Treasury yields, leading to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011942774
Credit spreads display occasional spikes and are more strongly countercyclical in times of financial stress. Financial crises are extreme cases of this nonlinear behavior, featuring deep recessions and sharp losses in bank equity. We develop a macroeconomic model with a banking sector in which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011796445