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Ratios that indicate the statistical significance of a fund's alpha typically appraise its performance. A growing literature suggests that even in the absence of any ability to predict returns, holding options positions on the benchmark assets or trading frequently can significantly enhance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287049
the level of policy rates at the time of the news release, and risk conditions: Government bond yields increase in … response to good news, but less so when risk is elevated. Risk conditions matter since they can capture the effects of … objectives of central banks, and the effect of news announcements on the risk premium. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333621
long-maturity illiquidity. By building a sieve estimator around the risk-neutral valuation equation, the framework … term structure of the variance risk premium and finds that a short-run component dominates market excess return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011340958
We explore the term structures of claims to a variety of cash flows: U.S. government bonds (claims to dollars), foreign government bonds (claims to foreign currency), inflation-adjusted bonds (claims to the price index), and equity (claims to future equity indexes or dividends). Average term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538004
Does the presence of arbitrageurs decrease equilibrium asset price volatility? I study an economy with arbitrageurs, informed investors, and noise traders. Arbitrageurs face a trade-off between arbitrage and inference: they would like to buy assets in response to temporary price declines (the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283435
risk. I show that idiosyncratic risk does not change the volatility bounds at all when consumers have CRRA preferences and … that idiosyncratic risk can help to enter the bounds when idiosyncratic uncertainty depends on the aggregate state of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283344
This paper examines how risk in trading activity can affect the volatility of asset prices. We look for this … swap spread tends to converge to a long-run level, although trading risk can sometimes cause the spread to diverge from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283368
This paper describes a set of indicators of systemic risk computed from current market prices of equity and equity … indicators represent a systemic risk event as the realization of an extreme loss on a portfolio of large-intermediary equities …. The technique for computing them combines risk-neutral return distributions with implied return correlations drawn from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333576
This paper describes a method for computing risk-neutral density functions based on the option-implied volatility smile …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011340971
where the time variation of the price of risk is a function of the level of the VIX. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011340951