Bai, Jennie; Collin-Dufresne, Pierre; Goldstein, Robert S. - Federal Reserve Bank of New York - 2012
Reduced-form models of default that attribute a large fraction of credit spreads to compensation for credit event risk … typically preclude the most plausible economic justification for such risk to be priced--namely, a “contagious” response of the … economy comprised of a large number of firms, credit event risk premia have an upper bound of just a few basis points and are …