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Keynesian model. Relative to Representative Agent (RANK) models, our framework introduces a precautionary-savings channel, as … households in both countries face uninsurable income risk, and a real-income channel, as households have heterogeneous marginal … propensities to consume (MPC). While both channels amplify the size of spillovers/spillbacks, only precautionary savings can change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501129
Simple models of monetary policy often imply optimal policy behavior that is considerably more aggressive than what is commonly observed. This paper argues that such counterfactual implications are due to model restrictions and a failure to account for multiplicative parameter uncertainty,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584195
Using stochastic simulations of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand s macroeconomic model, this paper examines the implications for monetary policy of uncertainty about the length of the monetary policy transmission lag. Uncertainty is examined from two perspectives. The first investigates the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011585387
When generating conditional forecasts in dynamic models it is common to impose the conditions as restrictions on future structural shocks. However, these conditional forecasts often ignore that there may be uncertainty about the future development of the restricted variables. Our paper therefore...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009792830
This paper provides an analytically tractable theoretical framework to study the optimal supply of central bank reserves when the demand for reserves is uncertain and nonlinear. We fully characterize the optimal supply of central bank reserves and associated market equilibrium. We find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014426250
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How does inflation affect the investment decisions of financially constrained firms in the presence of corporate taxation? Inflation interacts with corporate taxation via the deductibility of i) capital expenditures and ii) interest payments on debt. Through the first channel, inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011901390