standard New-Keynesian model, and may even inflate the equity premium. Second, asset-price movements improve the inflation …-output trade-off so that average output can rise without increasing much average inflation. Finally, a strict inflation …-targeting policy may result in lower average welfare than a more flexible inflation-targeting policy, which instead increases the …

properties of the yield curve when inflation is an exogenous process and compare this to the yield curve when inflation is … endogenous and determined through an interest-rate/Taylor rule. When inflation is exogenous, it is difficult to match the shape … with exogenous inflation does not exhibit any negative autocorrelation - a necessary condition for an upward sloping yield …

characterize the expected path of nominal and real short-rates as well as inflation using the universe of U.S. surveys of … by term premiums, not expected short rates or inflation; 2) term premiums co-move more strongly across maturities than … is primarily the result of a decline of expected inflation and term premiums while expected future real rates have …