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The effects of the saving and banking glut on the US economy

Justiniano, Alejandro; Primiceri, Giorgio E.; … - 2013

We use a quantitative equilibrium model with houses, collateralized debt, and foreign borrowing to study the impact of global imbalances on the U.S. economy in the 2000s. Our results suggest that the dynamics of foreign capital flows account for between one-fourth and one-third of the increase...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010202659

Real estate investors, the leverage cycle, and the housing market crisis

Haughwout, Andrew; Lee, Donghoon; Tracy, Joseph S.; … - 2011

almost half of purchase mortgage originations were associated with investors. In part by apparently misreporting their …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009299997

Large-scale asset purchases by the Federal Reserve : did they work?

Gagnon, Joseph E.; Raskin, Matthew; Remache, Julie; … - 2010

Since December 2008, the Federal Reserve’s traditional policy instrument, the target federal funds rate, has been effectively at its lower bound of zero. In order to further ease the stance of monetary policy as the economic outlook deteriorated, the Federal Reserve purchased substantial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003948813

Inflation in the great recession and new keynesian models

Del Negro, Marco; Giannoni, Marc Paolo; Schorfheide, Frank - 2013

It has been argued that existing DSGE models cannot properly account for the evolution of key macroeconomic variables during and following the recent Great Recession, and that models in which inflation depends on economic slack cannot explain the recent muted behavior of inflation, given the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009744674

Which financial frictions? : parsing the evidence from the financial crisis of 2007-09

Adrian, Tobias; Colla, Paolo; Shin, Hyun Song - 2011

The financial crisis of 2007-09 has sparked keen interest in models of financial frictions and their impact on macro activity. Most models share the feature that borrowers suffer a contraction in the quantity of credit. However, the evidence suggests that although bank lending contracted during...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009411381

Intermediary leverage cycles and financial stability

Adrian, Tobias; Boyarchenko, Nina - 2012

We develop a theory of financial intermediary leverage cycles in the context of a dynamic model of the macroeconomy. The interaction between a production sector, a financial intermediation sector, and a household sector gives rise to amplification of fundamental shocks that affect real economic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580891

Money, credit, monetary policy, and the business cycle in the euro area : what has changed since the crisis?

Giannone, Domenico; Lenza, Michele; Reichlin, Lucrezia - 2019

This paper studies the relationship between the business cycle and financial intermediation in the euro area. We establish stylized facts and study their stability during the global financial crisis and the European sovereign debt crisis. Long-term interest rates have been exceptionally high and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012000041

MBS ratings and the mortgage credit boom

Ashcraft, Adam B.; Goldsmith-Pinkham, Paul; Vickery, James - 2010

We study credit ratings on subprime and Alt-A mortgage-backed-securities (MBS) deals issued between 2001 and 2007, the … period leading up to the subprime crisis. The fraction of highly rated securities in each deal is decreasing in mortgage … underperformance (high mortgage defaults and losses and large rating downgrades) among deals with observably higher risk mortgages …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008657284

Subsidizing job creation in the Great Recession

Kitao, Sagiri; Şahin, Ayşegül; Song, Joseph - 2010

We analyze the effects of various labor market policies on job creation, job destruction, and employment. The framework of Mortensen and Pissarides (2003) is used to model the dynamic interaction between firms and workers and to simulate their responses to alternative policies. The equilibrium...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008657274

Good news is bad news : leverage cycles and sudden stops

Akinci, Ozge; Chahrour, Ryan - 2015

We show that a model with imperfectly forecastable changes in future productivity and an occasionally binding collateral constraint can match a set of stylized facts about "sudden stop" events. "Good" news about future productivity raises leverage during times of expansion, increasing the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011338832