Showing 1 - 10 of 150
Home price expectations are believed to play an important role in housing dynamics, yet we have limited understanding …. These results are consistent with recent behavioral models of housing cycles. Finally, we present robust evidence of home … price expectations impacting (actual and intended) housing-related behaviors, both in the cross section and within-individual. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011547755
Housing is a depreciating asset. The rate of depreciation depends on the degree to which households engage in housing … investments. Housing investment expenditures economy-wide are sizable, averaging 45 percent of the value of new home construction … over the past twenty years. The housing bust and recession coincided with a significant decline in housing investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010201310
We provide a novel methodology for estimating time-varying weights in linear prediction pools, which we call dynamic pools, and use it to investigate the relative forecasting performance of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, with and without financial frictions, for output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414783
-in, and property tax lock-in - on household mobility. We add the 2009 wave of the American Housing Survey (AHS) to our sample …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009380271
, the nature of the housing stock, and the organization of residential activity. We start by providing some background on … tax policy, to influence a household's decision to own or rent, and how shifts in the demand for owner-occupied housing … are translated into housing prices and quantities, given the unusual nature of housing supply. We consider the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010488293
We study long-term returns on residential real estate in twenty-seven "superstar" cities in fifteen countries over 150 years. We find that total returns in superstar cities are close to 100 basis points lower per year than in the rest of the country. House prices tend to grow faster in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012797899
This paper develops a growth model with land, housing services, and other goods that is capable of explaining a … substantial portion of the movements in housing prices over the past forty years. Under certainty, the model exhibits a balanced …—both qualitatively and quantitatively—the large low-frequency changes in housing price trends. In particular, the model shows how housing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003781770
The sensitivity of housing demand to mortgage rates and available leverage is key to understanding the effect of … monetary and macroprudential policies on the housing market. However, since there is generally no exogenous variation in these … financing scenarios. We vary down payment constraints, mortgage rates, and non-housing wealth. We find that a relaxation of down …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010439636
In a financial system in which balance sheets are continuously marked to market, asset price changes appear immediately as changes in net worth, eliciting responses from financial intermediaries who adjust the size of their balance sheets. We document evidence that marked-to-market leverage is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003781549
We examine the dynamic effects of credit shocks using a large data set of U.S. economic and financial indicators in a structural factor model. The identified credit shocks, interpreted as unexpected deteriorations of credit market conditions, immediately increase credit spreads, decrease rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009744685