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"We conduct a systematic comparison of confidence intervals around estimated probabilities of default (PD), using several analytical approaches from large-sample theory and bootstrapped small-sample confidence intervals. We do so for two different PD estimation methods--cohort and duration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002521762
We study early default, defined as serious delinquency or foreclosure in the first year, among nonprime mortgages from the 2001 to 2007 vintages. After documenting a dramatic rise in such defaults and discussing their correlates, we examine two primary explanations: changes in underwriting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003781681
and liquidity has increased since the late 1990s, and to a lesser extent because economic growth has slowed. We reach this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011647660
Agency mortgage backed securities (MBS) with diverse characteristics are traded in parallel with individualized contracts in the specified pool (SP) market and with standardized contracts in the to-be-announced (TBA) market. We find that this unique parallel trading environment significantly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012240625
illiquid assets or underprovision of liquidity. We investigate whether imperfect competition (Cournot) improves welfare through … internalizing the externality and find that this is far from guaranteed. In a standard model of liquidity shocks, when liquidity is … sufficiently scarce, Cournot competition leads to even less liquidity than the Walrasian equilibrium. In a standard model of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011806238
disrupting the liquidity or stability of mortgage secondary markets. In the process, the programs have created a new financial … market for pricing and trading mortgage credit risk, which has grown in size and liquidity over time. The CRT programs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011806244
-09 financial crisis is often attributed to corporate bond dealers shedding off their inventory, right when liquidity was scarce …, including proprietary trading desks in investment banks, provided liquidity in response to the large selling by clients …. Corporate bond inventory of dealers rose sharply as a result. Although providing liquidity, limits to arbitrage, possibly in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010202650
provided liquidity against a range of assets during 2008-09. Dealers with lower equity returns and greater leverage prior to … liquidity in explaining dealer behavior. The results suggest that both financial performance and balance sheet liquidity play a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010404154
market liquidity over time, when dealer balance sheet utilization reaches sufficiently high levels, liquidity is much worse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014393396
sensitivity of these strains to risk sentiment deterioration. Cross-border flows through banks for excess liquidity support … facilities leaves longer-term patterns of cross-border liquidity and capital flows broadly unchanged. While official sector … liquidity hoarding and “dash for cash” activity are expected to be lower with access to these facilities, initial evidence does …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012797880