Similar Search Results

What Fed funds futures tell us about monetary policy uncertainty

Fontaine, Jean-Sébastien - 2016

The uncertainty around future changes to the Federal Reserve target rate varies over time. In our results, the main driver of uncertainty is a "path" factor signaling information about future policy actions, which is filtered from federal funds futures data. The uncertainty is highest when it...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011576374

On the tail risk premium in the oil market

Ellwanger, Reinhard - 2017

This paper shows that changes in market participants' fear of rare events implied by crude oil options contribute to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011778000

The equity premium and the volatility spread : the role of risk-neutral skewness

Feunou, Bruno; Fontaine, Jean-Sébastien; Tedongap, Roméo - 2009

, variance and an independent skewness parameter under both measures. The model predicts that the spread between historical and … risk-neutral volatilities is a function of the risk premium and of skewness. In fact, the equity premium is twice the ratio … of the volatility spread to skewness. We measure skewness from option prices and test these predictions. We find that …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003852916

The economic value of realized volatility : using high-frequency returns for option valuation

Christoffersen, Peter F.; Feunou, Bruno; Jacobs, Kris; … - 2012

Many studies have documented that daily realized volatility estimates based on intraday returns provide volatility forecasts that are superior to forecasts constructed from daily returns only. We investigate whether these forecasting improvements translate into economic value added. To do so we...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009627514

Estimating the policy rule from money market rates when target rate changes are lumpy

Fontaine, Jean-Sébastien - 2012

Most central banks effect changes to their target or policy rate in discrete increments (e.g., multiples of 0.25%) following public announcements on scheduled dates. Still, for most applications, researchers rely on the assumption that the policy rate changes linearly with economic conditions...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009728132

Price discovery in Canadian and US 10-year government bond markets

Campbell, Bryan (contributor); Hendry, Scott (contributor) - 2007

This paper presents some new results on the price discovery process in both the Canadian and U.S. 10-year Government bond markets using high-frequency data not previously analyzed. Using techniques introduced by Hasbrouck (1995) and Gonzalo-Granger (1995), we look at the relative information...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003560539