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This study investigate how debt restructurings have evolved over the decades. Debtors and creditors have a long history of engaging an outsider a third partyʺ, such as the IMF to organise and facilitate debt restructurings. As we show, the importance of these third partiesʺ has grown over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003463647
with credit shocks and fire sales and (b) a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model solved with deep learning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013264908
Interconnectedness is an inherent feature of the modern financial system. While it contributes to efficiency of financial services, it also creates structural vulnerabilities: pernicious shock transmission and amplification impacting banks' capitalization. This has recently been seen during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291202
countries to expand their domestic credit, risk-intolerant foreign investors withdraw even under minimal uncertainty. We show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011304762
We propose a novel theory of financial contagion. We study global coordination games of regime change in two regions with an initially uncertain correlation of regional fundamentals. A crisis in region 1 is a wake-up call to investors in region 2 that induces a reassessment of local...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010508402
to domestic bank credit to the private non-financial sector. The adoption of explicit financial stability mandates by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011777963
Historical narratives typically associate financial crises with credit expansions and asset price misalignments. The … question is whether some combination of measures of credit and asset prices can be used to predict these events. Borio and Lowe … problem, we focus on financial stress and ask whether credit and asset price movements can help predict it. To measure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003711679
Markets for securitized assets were characterized by high liquidity prior to the recent financial crisis and by a sudden market dry-up at the onset of the crisis. A general equilibrium model with heterogeneous investment opportunities and information frictions predicts that, in boom periods or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011552808
risks, measured by a strongly positive credit to GDP gap, "leaning-type" central banks, i.e., those with a high FSO index …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408612
We propose a new strength measure of the global financial cycle by estimating a regimeswitching factor model on cross-border equity flows for 61 countries. We then assess how the strength of the global financial cycle affects monetary policy independence, which is defined as the response of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243375