Showing 1 - 10 of 67
containing information on real economic activity, inflation, interest rates and Divisia monetary aggregates produces the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010401309
Macroeconomists have traditionally ignored the behavior of temporary price markdowns ("sales") by retailers. Although sales are common in the micro price data, they are assumed to be unrelated to macroeconomic phenomena and generally filtered out. We challenge this view. First, using the 1996 -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010418254
This paper provides direct evidence of the importance of firm attention to macro-economic dynamics. We construct a text-based measure of firm attention to macro-economic news and document firm attention that is polarized and countercyclical. Differences in attention lead to asymmetric responses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012797080
Elevated inflation can threaten the credibility of central banks and increase the risk that inflation expectations do … not remain anchored. Wage-price spirals might develop in such an environment, and high inflation could become entrenched …-varying propagation of inflationary shocks that improves forecasting performance of inflation and wage growth. Central bank credibility is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014558998
This paper studies the behaviors of uncertainty through the lens of several popular models of expectation formation. The full-information rational expectations model (FIRE) predicts that both the ex ante uncertainty and the variance of ex post forecast errors are equal to the conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014475397
The recent financial crisis and subsequent recession have spurred great interest in the sources of unemployment fluctuations. Previous studies predominantly assume a single economy-wide labour market, and therefore abstract from differences across sectorspecific labour markets in the economy. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010201384
This note studies a form of a utility function of consumption with habit and leisure that (a) is compatible with long-run balanced growth, (b) hits a steady-state observed target for hours worked and (c) is consistent with micro-econometric evidence for the inter-temporal elasticity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864588
-off between inflation and labor market stabilization. As migration flows are generally inefficient, however, regionspecific …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011993028
quantitatively study the positive and normative implications of employer-to-employer (EE) transitions for inflation. We find that EE … dynamics played an important role in shaping the differential inflation dynamics observed during the Great Recession and COVID …-19 recoveries, with the former exhibiting subdued EE transitions and inflation despite both episodes sharing similar …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014456659
interaction affects the allocation and welfare. Regarding how banking affects the welfare costs of inflation: First, we find that …, with banking, inflation generates smaller welfare costs. Second, we show that, lowering inflation improves welfare not just … nature of intermediation cost is critical for accurately assessing the welfare gain of lowering the inflation target …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790575