Showing 1 - 10 of 78
better than the constant and uncertain barrier models in terms of both in-sample fit and out-of-sample forecasting of CDS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003641322
different forecasting horizons. Its contribution, in general, declines with credit classes. In contrast, the aggregate supply …, they in general contribute more for longer forecasting horizons. -- Debt management ; Financial markets ; Interest rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003772980
McCallum (1994a) proposes a monetary rule where policymakers have some tendency to resist rapid changes in exchange rates to explain the forward premium puzzle. We estimate this monetary policy reaction function within the framework of an affine term structure model to find that, contrary to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003775749
This paper uses the framework of arbitrage-pricing theory to study the relationship between liquidity risk and sovereign bond risk premia. The London Stock Exchange in the late 19th century is an ideal laboratory in which to test the proposition that liquidity risk affects the price of sovereign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790566
We introduce the Homoscedastic Gamma [HG] model where the distribution of returns is characterized by its mean, variance and an independent skewness parameter under both measures. The model predicts that the spread between historical and risk-neutral volatilities is a function of the risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003852916
Differences in market structures may affect the manner in which fundamental information is incorporated into prices. High levels of quote and trade transparency plus substantial quoting obligations in European government securities markets ensure that prices are informationally efficient. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003462952
We study the joint dynamics of macroeconomic variables, bond yields, and the exchange rate in an empirical two-country New-Keynesian model complemented with a no-arbitrage term structure model. With Canadian and US data, we are able to study the impact of macroeconomic shocks from both countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003462987
Loan-level data on the uncollateralized overnight loan market is generated using payment data from Canada's Large Value Transfer System (LVTS) and a modified version of the methodology proposed in Furfine (1999). There were on average just under 100 loans extended in this market each day from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003463636
In this paper we look at the relative information content of cash and futures prices for Canadian Government bonds. We follow the information-share approaches introduced by Hasbrouck (1995) and Harris et al (1995), applying the techniques in Gonzalo-Granger (1995), to evaluate the relative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003463671
We examine the quantitative effect of search frictions in product markets on asset price volatility. We combine several features from Shi (1997) and Lagos and Wright (2002) in a model without money. Households prefer special goods and general goods. Special goods can be obtained only via a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933390