Chernis, Tony; Koop, Gary; Tallman, Emily; West, Mike - 2024 - Last updated: August 16, 2024
. Consequently, decision-makers consider multiple models that provide different predictions and policy recommendations and then … synthesize that information into a policy decision. We use Bayesian predictive decision synthesis (BPDS) as a way formalize this … monetary policy decision-making process. BPDS draws on recent developments in model combination and statistical decision theory …