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interpretation: one factor captures the combined contribution of shocks that affect commodity markets only through general …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010385286
Weak identification is likely to be prevalent in multi-equation macroeconomic models such as in dynamic stochastic general equilibrium setups. Identification difficulties cause the breakdown of standard asymptotic procedures, making inference unreliable. While the extensive econometric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003852909
economic projections from 1974 to 2015 to construct a new measure of monetary policy shocks and estimate the effects of … monetary policy in Canada. We show that it is crucial to take into account the break in the conduct of monetary policy caused … by the announcement of inflation targeting in 1991 when estimating the effects of monetary policy. For instance, we find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011777945
. Consequently, decision-makers consider multiple models that provide different predictions and policy recommendations and then … synthesize that information into a policy decision. We use Bayesian predictive decision synthesis (BPDS) as a way formalize this … monetary policy decision-making process. BPDS draws on recent developments in model combination and statistical decision theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015067158
We develop an experimental framework to investigate the quantity theory of money and the real effects of inflation in an economy where money serves as a medium of exchange. We test the classical view that inflation reduces output and welfare by taxing monetary exchange. Inflation is engineered...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013542097
In the onset of the COVID-19 crisis, central banks purchased large volumes of assets in an effort to keep markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886803
standard rule aiming exclusively at price stability against the other, where monetary policy additionally leans against fiscal … emphasize how the level and structure of government debt emerge as key factors affecting the credibility of monetary policy with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886819
This paper examines novel household-level data from the Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations (CSCE) from 2014Q4 to 2022Q1 to understand households' expectations about price and wage inflation, their respective links to views about labour market conditions and their subsequent impact on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285961
This paper examines empirically the impact of financial stress on the transmission of monetary policy shocks in Canada … stress conditions, the authors examine questions such as: Do contractionary and expansionary monetary policy shocks have … symmetric effects? Do financial stress conditions play a role as a nonlinear propagator of monetary policy shocks? Does monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003981316
the econometric estimates for monetary policy analysis. First, by including real money balance effects into the standard … sticky price model, two stylized facts can be explained: the modestly procyclical real wage response to a monetary policy … shock and the supply side effects of monetary policy. Second, the existence of real money balance effects causes higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933293