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This paper examines the impact of product market competition and corporate governance on the cost of debt financing and the use of bond covenants. We find that more antitakeover provisions are associated with a lower cost of debt only in competitive industries. Because they are exposed to higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010238953
We present CoMargin, a new methodology to estimate collateral requirements for central counterparties (CCPs) in derivatives markets. CoMargin depends on both the tail risk of a given market participant and its interdependence with other participants. Our approach internalizes market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010225497
The U.S. Energy Information Administration regularly publishes short-term forecasts of the price of crude oil. Traditionally, such out-of-sample forecasts have been largely judgmental, making them difficult to replicate and justify, and not particularly successful when compared with naive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009783104
Forecasts of the quarterly real price of oil are routinely used by international organizations and central banks worldwide in assessing the global and domestic economic outlook, yet little is known about how best to generate such forecasts. Our analysis breaks new ground in several dimensions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009746576
Guided by a macroeconomic model in which non-energy commodity prices are endogenously determined, we apply a new factor-based identification strategy to decompose the historical sources of changes in commodity prices and global economic activity. The model yields a factor structure for commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010385286
a country as sole provider of international liquidity is questioned as its size in the world economy - and hence its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010187669
-state share of long-term U.S. bond holdings increases in the rest-of-the-world portfolio, as the elasticity of substitution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010468314
Prices of commodities, including metals, energy and agricultural products, rose markedly over the 2009 - 2010 period. Some observers have attributed a significant part of this increase in commodity prices to the U.S. Federal Reserve's large-scale asset purchase (LSAP) programs. Using event-study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011283220
Given the increasing interdependence of both financial systems and attendant payment and settlement systems a vital question is what form should optimal policy take when there are two connected payment systems with separate regulators. In this paper I show that two central banks operating in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003711702
Futures markets are a potentially valuable source of information about price expectations. Exploiting this information has proved difficult in practice, because time-varying risk premia often render the futures price a poor measure of the market expectation of the price of the underlying asset....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011452269