Showing 1 - 10 of 114
This paper measures valuation and strategic uncertainty in an over-the-counter market. The analysis uses a novel data set of price estimates that major financial institutions provide to a consensus pricing service. We model these institutions as Bayesian agents that learn from consensus prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388763
This paper shows that changes in market participants' fear of rare events implied by crude oil options contribute to oil price volatility and oil return predictability. Using 25 years of historical data, we document economically large tail risk premia that vary substantially over time and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011778000
We introduce generalized autoregressive gamma (GARG) processes, a class of autoregressive and moving-average processes that extends the class of existing autoregressive gamma (ARG) processes in one important dimension: each conditional moment dynamic is driven by a different and identifiable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014456532
Differences in market structures may affect the manner in which fundamental information is incorporated into prices … model. In European markets, dealers are able to quickly absorb private information elsewhere in the market. Consequently …, order flow, which reflects inventory management practices in addition to private information, explains a smaller proportion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003462952
In this paper we look at the relative information content of cash and futures prices for Canadian Government bonds. We … follow the information-share approaches introduced by Hasbrouck (1995) and Harris et al (1995), applying the techniques in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003463671
Existing studies show that U.S. Treasury bond price changes are mainly driven by public information shocks, as … manifested in macroeconomic news announcements and events. The literature also shows that heterogeneous private information … for 2-, 5-, and 10-year Treasury notes and employ a Markov switching model to identify intraday private information flow …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008841172
-Granger (1995), we look at the relative information content of cash and futures prices in the market for Canadian Government bonds …, hide the fact that information shares for the U.S. futures markets declined throughout 2004-05 apparently as a result of … improvements in the spot market BrokerTec platform. Day-to-day variation in price discovery information shares is related to bid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003560539
In this paper, we show that in a model where investors have heterogeneous preferences, the expected return of risky assets depends on the idiosyncratic coskewness beta, which measures the co-movement of the individual stock variance and the market return. We find that there is a negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003981312
The end result of major sporting events has been shown to affect next-day stock returns through shifts in investor mood. By studying the soccer matches that led to the elimination of France and Italy from the 2010 FIFA World Cup, we show that moodrelated pricing effects can materialize as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010235888
form of price discovery in the sense that they help to quickly incorporate market information into bond prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003749227