Showing 1 - 10 of 196
This paper explores the reliability of using prices of credit default swap contracts (CDS) as indicators of default probabilities during the 2007/2008 financial crisis. We use data from the Canadian financial system to show that these publicly available risk measures, while indicative of initial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009260883
This paper studies the interdependence between fiscal and monetary policies, and their joint role in the determination of the price level. The government is characterized by a long-run fiscal policy rule whereby a given fraction of the outstanding debt, say , is backed by the present discounted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003484267
This paper studies the interdependence between fiscal and monetary policy in a DSGE model with sticky prices and non-zero trend inflation. We characterize the fiscal and monetary policies by a rule whereby a given fraction k of the government debt must be backed by the discounted value of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003772978
We perform an analysis to determine how well the introduction of a countercyclical loanto- value (LTV) ratio can reduce household indebtedness and housing price fluctuations compared with a monetary policy rule augmented with house price inflation. To this end, we construct a New Keynesian model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011517031
A number of central banks publish their own business conditions survey based on non-random sampling methods. The results of these surveys influence monetary policy decisions and thus affect expectations in financial markets. To date, however, no one has computed the statistical accuracy of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003823140
This paper examines the reliability of survey data on business incomes, valuations, and rates of return, which are key inputs for studies of wealth inequality and entrepreneurial choice. We compare survey responses of business owners with available data from administrative tax records, brokered...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012132333
sector. Shock decompositions suggest a positive contribution of ECB QE to annual euro area output growth and inflation in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011804879
We evaluate forecasts for the euro area in data-rich and 'data-lean' environments by comparing three different … approaches: a simple PMI model based on Purchasing Managers' Indices (PMIs), a dynamic factor model with euro area data, and a … dynamic factor model with data from the euro plus data from national economies (pseudo-real time data). We estimate backcasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008771575
We measure consumers' use of cash by harmonizing payment diary surveys from seven countries. The seven diary surveys were conducted in 2009 (Canada), 2010 (Australia), 2011 (Austria, France, Germany and the Netherlands), and 2012 (the United States). Our paper finds cross-country differences -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010360396
the euro area. Our results support the hypothesis of Campbell and Cocco (2003) that the decision is best described as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010235889