Showing 1 - 10 of 198
This paper explores the reliability of using prices of credit default swap contracts (CDS) as indicators of default probabilities during the 2007/2008 financial crisis. We use data from the Canadian financial system to show that these publicly available risk measures, while indicative of initial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009260883
This paper studies the interdependence between fiscal and monetary policy in a DSGE model with sticky prices and non-zero trend inflation. We characterize the fiscal and monetary policies by a rule whereby a given fraction k of the government debt must be backed by the discounted value of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003772978
This paper studies the interdependence between fiscal and monetary policies, and their joint role in the determination of the price level. The government is characterized by a long-run fiscal policy rule whereby a given fraction of the outstanding debt, say , is backed by the present discounted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003484267
We perform an analysis to determine how well the introduction of a countercyclical loanto- value (LTV) ratio can reduce household indebtedness and housing price fluctuations compared with a monetary policy rule augmented with house price inflation. To this end, we construct a New Keynesian model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011517031
six quarterly U.S. bilateral real exchange rates Australia, Canada, the euro, Japan, New Zealand and the United Kingdom …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933399
follows the methodology of Malmendier and Nagel (2011) and applies it to a novel data set on household finances covering euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010254328
the euro area. Our results support the hypothesis of Campbell and Cocco (2003) that the decision is best described as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010235889
We evaluate forecasts for the euro area in data-rich and 'data-lean' environments by comparing three different … approaches: a simple PMI model based on Purchasing Managers' Indices (PMIs), a dynamic factor model with euro area data, and a … dynamic factor model with data from the euro plus data from national economies (pseudo-real time data). We estimate backcasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008771575
The paper analyzes the integration of euro area sovereign bond markets during the European sovereign debt crisis. It … identification. The paper finds that euro area government bond markets were well integrated prior to the crisis, but saw a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010508561
We use internationally comparable household-level data for ten euro area economies and the United States to investigate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010526694