Showing 1 - 10 of 13
for economic analysis. This paper demonstrates how a VAR model with long run restrictions justified by economic theory can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584357
an open economy is used to identify a structural VAR model. The empirical results from the identified VAR model are … results obtain with certain theoretical restrictions imposed on the VAR, another way to achieve this is by using external …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583125
In this paper I study the effects of monetary policy on economic activity and asset prices in Sweden, separately identifying the effects of a conventional policy change from effects of new information about economic fundamentals. Recent research has shown that high-frequency changes in policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012309007
This paper estimates the interaction between monetary- and fiscal policy using a structural VAR model with time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990029
This paper uses an estimated open economy DSGE model to examine if constant interest forecasts one and two years ahead can be regarded as modest policy interventions during the period 1993Q4-2002Q4. An intervention is here defined to be modest if it does not trigger the agents to revise their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583556
We identify an inflationary technology news shock as the leading source of business cycle variations for the postwar U.S. economy. This shock acts like a demand shock: it induces strong positive comovement in real quantities - GDP, consumption, investment - and weak positive comovement between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011930326
The pass-through from exchange rate changes to inflation differs depending on the underlying shock. This paper quantifies the conditional exchange rate pass-through (CERPT) to prices, i.e. the change in prices relative to that in the exchange rate following a certain exogenous shock, with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011806006
This paper shows how uninsurable unemployment risk is crucial to qualitatively and quantitatively match macro responses to uncertainty shocks. Empirically, uncertainty shocks i) generate deflationary pressure; ii) have considerably negative consequences on economic activity; iii) produce a drop...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012296809
structural Bayesian VAR. Four domestic and two global shocks are identified through zero and sign restrictions. For both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012176017
Beaudry and Portier (2006) provide support for the "news view" of the business cycle, using a vector error correction model. We show that this result hinges on a cointegrating relationship between TFP and stock prices that is not stationary, thus making the estimates not reliable. If we alter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181050