Showing 1 - 10 of 88
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000675253
We show how to construct optimal policy projections in Ramses, the Riksbank’s openeconomy medium-sized DSGE model for forecasting and policy analysis. Bayesian estimation of the parameters of the model indicates that they are relatively invariant to alternative policy assumptions and supports...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003757018
This paper studies the relation between macroeconomic fluctuations and corporate defaults while conditioning on industry affiliation and an extensive set of firm-specific factors. Using a logit approach on a panel data set for all incorporated Swedish businesses over 1990-2002, we find strong...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003766847
Time series subject to parameter shifts of random magnitude and timing are commonly modeled with a change-point approach using Chib's (1998) algorithm to draw the break dates. We outline some advantages of an alternative approach in which breaks come through mixture distributions in state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003325461
We study the relationship between technology shocks and labor input on Swedish firm-level data using a production function approach to identify technology shocks. Taking standard steps yields a contractionary contemporaneous labor-input response in line with previous studies. This finding may,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003325476
Using a set of standard success criteria, we show that Riksbank foreign-exchange interventions between 1993 and 2002 lacked forecast value; that is, the observed number of successes was not significantly greater - and usually substantially smaller - than the number one would anticipate given the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003319531
In this paper we simultaneously estimate the real exchange rates between the Swedish Krona, the US Dollar and the Euro. A prime candidate for explaining the exchange rate movements is relative potential output. Since this variable is unobservable, cyclical and potential output are estimated in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003319543
disaggregated wealth and income of the entire population of Sweden. The analysis focuses on two main sources of inefficiency in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003319550
This paper tests the balance sheet theory, where the status of balance sheets affects the economy´s response to monetary and other shocks. The theory predicts a positive effect of cash flow on investment, given fundamental determinants of investment. I use an empirical method developed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003833846
I revisit the potential costs and benefits for Sweden of joining the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) of the European … inflation and GDP growth might have been slightly higher if Sweden had been a member of EMU since the launch in 1999, but also … in the monetary union would be advantageous for Sweden. -- DSGE model ; Monetary union ; Open economy ; Optimum Currency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003793441