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Robust resampling methods for time series

Camponovo, Lorenzo; Scaillet, Olivier; Trojani, Fabio - 2010 - This version: May 9, 2010

We study the robustness of block resampling procedures for time series. We first derive a set of formulas to … applications. This renders inference based on standard resampling methods useless already in simple estimation and testing settings …. To solve this problem, we introduce a robust fast resampling scheme that is applicable to a wide class of time series …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971115

Testing for equality between two copulas

Remillard, Bruno (contributor); … - 2007

We develop a test of equality between two dependence structures estimated through empirical copulas. We provide inference for independent or paired samples. The multiplier central limit theorem is used for calculating p-values of the Crameacute;r-von Mises test statistic. Finite sample properties...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003550857

A specification test for nonparametric instrumental variable regression

Gagliardini, Patrick (contributor); … - 2007

We consider testing for correct specification of a nonparametric instrumental variable regression. In this ill-posed inverse problem setting, the test statistic is based on the empirical minimum distance criterion corresponding to the conditional moment restriction evaluated with a Tikhonov...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003550675

Spanning analysis of stock market anomalies under prospect stochastic dominance

Arvanitis, Stelios; Scaillet, Olivier; Topaloglou, Nikolas - 2020 - This version: April 2020

We develop and implement methods for determining whether introducing new securities or relaxing investment constraints improves the investment opportunity set for prospect investors. We formulate a new testing procedure for prospect spanning for two nested portfolio sets based on subsampling and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219063

Spanning tests for Markowitz stochastic dominance

Arvanitis, Stelios; Scaillet, Olivier; Topaloglou, Nikolas - 2018 - Current draft: January 2018

Using properties of the cdf of a random variable defined as a saddle-type point of a real valued continuous stochastic process, we derive first-order asymptotic properties of tests for stochastic spanning w.r.t. a stochastic dominance relation. First, we define the concept of Markowitz...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877232

Machine learning with kernels for portfolio valuation and risk management

Boudabsa, Lotfi; Filipović, Damir - 2019

We introduce a simulation method for dynamic portfolio valuation and risk management building on machine learning with kernels. We learn the dynamic value process of a portfolio from a finite sample of its cumulative cash flow. The learned value process is given in closed form thanks to a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012052380

Anomalous returns in a neural network equity-ranking predictor

Satinover, Jeffrey; Sornette, Didier - 2008

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003961709

Taking ambiguity to reality : robust agents cannot trust the data too much

Trojani, Fabio; Wiehenkamp, Christian; Wrampelmeyer, Jan - 2011

Ambiguity aversion in dynamic models is motivated by the presence of unknown time-varying features, which agents do not understand and cannot theorize about. We analyze the consequences of this assumption for economic agents and model builders, who typically need to estimate a model, e.g., to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009273101

An objective function for simulation based inference on exchange rate data

Winker, Peter (contributor); Gilli, Manfred (contributor); … - 2007

The assessment of models of financial market behavior requires evaluation tools. When complexity hinders a direct estimation approach, e.g., for agent based microsimulation models or complex multifractal models, simulation based estimators might provide an alternative. In order to apply such...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003548061

Clarifications to questions and criticisms on the Johansen-Ledoit-Sornette bubble model

Sornette, Didier; Woodard, Ryan; Yan, Wanfeng; Zhou, … - 2011

The Johansen-Ledoit-Sornette (JLS) model of rational expectation bubbles with finite-time singular crash hazard rates has been developed to describe the dynamics of financial bubbles and crashes. It has been applied successfully to a large variety of financial bubbles in many different markets....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009273112