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We incorporate a latent stochastic volatility factor and macroeconomic expectations in an affine model for the term structure of nominal and real rates. We estimate the model over 1999-2016 on U.S. data for nominal and TIPS yields, the realized and implied volatility of T-bonds and survey...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877284
We study the term structure of variance swaps, equity and variance risk premia. A model-free analysis reveals a significant price jump component in variance swap rates. A model-based analysis shows that investors' willingness to ensure against volatility risk increases after a market drop. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899885
This paper shows that the VIX market contains information on the variance of the S&P 500 returns, which is not already spanned by the S&P 500 market. We estimate a flexible affine model based on a joint time series of underlying indexes and option prices on both markets. We find that including...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256394
Classical option pricing theories are usually built on the law of one price, neglecting the impact of market liquidity that may contribute to significant bid-ask spreads. Within the framework of conic finance, we develop a stochastic liquidity model, extending the discrete-time constant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011515968
In a tractable stochastic volatility model, we identify the price of the smile as the price of the unspanned risks traded in SPX option markets. The price of the smile reflects two persistent volatility and skewness risks, which imply a downward sloping term structure of low-frequency variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412294
This paper derives an analytic expression for the distribution of the average volatility $\frac{1}{T-t} \int_t^T \sigma_s^2 ds$ in the stochastic volatility model of Hull and White. This result answers a longstanding question, posed by Hull and White (Journal of Finance 42, 1987), whether such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012726760
The present article studies geometric step options in exponential Lévy markets. Our contribution is manifold and extends several aspects of the geometric step option pricing literature. First, we provide symmetry and parity relations and derive various characterizations for both European-type...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181323
I show that an asset pricing model for the equity claims of a value-maximizing firm can be constructed from its optimal financial contracting behavior. I study a dynamic contracting model in which firms trade off the costs and benefits of a given promise to pay external lenders in a specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900221
We model the dynamics of asset prices and associated derivatives by consideration of the dynamics of the conditional probability density process for the value of an asset at some specified time in the future. In the case where the asset is driven by Brownian motion, an associated "master...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797695
This paper investigates the pricing of single-asset autocallable barrier reverse convertibles in the Heston local-stochastic volatility (LSV) model. Despite their complexity, autocallable structured notes are the most traded equity-linked exotic derivatives. The autocallable payoff embeds an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013491888