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we label Convergence Gap (CG), contains information that is valuable for bond predictability. Adding CG in forecasting … regressions of bond excess returns significantly raises the R-squared, and restores countercyclical variation in bond risk premia … the path of rates, our factor has predictive ability for real bond excess returns. The importance of the gap remains …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012134247
This paper (i) proposes a simple multi-currency model of speculative foreign exchange (FX) trading, (ii) uses a natural experiment to identify the implied components of the optimal trading strategy, and (iii) proposes a new spectral inference method to strengthen the statistical evidence on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009558406
We find that the degree and dynamics of sovereign bond market integration across 21 developed and 18 emerging countries … dissipating local risk premiums. Integration of the sovereign bond markets increases by about 10% on average, when a country moves …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011618981
long vs. the short maturity bond segments and show that enhanced institutional quality, higher credit quality and better …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010413280
The effective functioning of the municipal bond market is crucial for the provision of public services, as it is the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011938223
Many bond portfolio managers argue that bond laddering tends to outperform other bond investment strategies because it … reduces both market price risk and reinvestment risk for a bond portfolio in the presence of interest rate uncertainty …. Despite the popularity of bond ladders as a strategy for managing investments in fixed-income securities, there is surprising …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003966082
We investigate whether the Russia-Ukraine conflict has affected investors' assessment concerning a green energy transition. Based on a global energy sector sample, we apply an event study around the invasion on February 24, 2022. We find that energy firms' CAAR are positive around the event....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405628
This paper empirically analyses the effect of foreign block acquisitions on the U.S. target firms' credit risk as captured by their CDS. The involvement of foreign investors leads to a significant increase in the target firms' CDS spreads. This effect is stronger when foreign owners are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011519062
A growing literature uses the Russell 1000/2000 reconstitution event as an identification strategy to investigate corporate finance and asset pricing questions. To implement this identification strategy, researchers need to approximate the ranking variable used to assign stocks to indexes. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012134428
It is well known that non-normality plays an important role in asset and risk management. However, handling a large number of assets has long been a challenge due to the curse of dimensionality. We describe a statistical technique, which we call Moment Component Analysis (MCA), that extends...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797742