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Ten years after the worst financial crisis of the post-war period, Switzerland has established a Too-Big-To-Fail (TBTF …
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Based on a vector autoregressive model (VAR), this paper shows that time variation in monthly excess returns on Swiss government bonds and stocks is predominantly driven by news of inflation and dividends, respectively. This finding is in marked contrast to US evidence which points to a more...
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This paper addresses the question of the optimal debt level of a state (canton) that issues new bonds and subsequently invests the borrowed capital. For that purpose, we first estimate the effect of the debt level on the interest rate and then we contrast the predicted interest rate with...
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suggests that the asset return dynamics in the US and Switzerland differ markedly. Forecasting Swiss asset returns hence …
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