We analyze multivariate binary time series using a mixed parameterization in terms of the conditional expectations given the past and the pairwise canonical interactions among contemporaneous variables. This allows consistent inference on the influence of past variables even if the...

Proprietors are an important group of stockholders and non-diversifiable entrepreneurial risk could therefore help explain time-varying risk premia on the aggregate stock market. This paper suggests an entrepreneurial distress factor that is highly correlated with the aggregate...

We study the drift of stationary diffusion processes in a time series analysis of the autoregression function. A marked empirical process measures the difference between the nonparametric regression functions of two time series. We bootstrap the distribution of a Kolmogorov-Smirnov-type test...

Dickey-Fuller control charts aim at monitoring a random walk until a given time horizon to detect stationarity as early as possible. That problem appears in many fields, especially in econometrics and the analysis of economic equilibria. To improve upon asymptotic control limits (critical...

We introduce robust regression-based online filters for multivariate time series and discuss their performance in real time signal extraction settings. We focus on methods that can deal with time series exhibiting patterns such as trends, level changes, outliers and a high level of noise as well...