We consider the finite sample power of various tests against serial correlation in the disturbances of a linear regression when these disturbances follow a stationary long memory process. It emerges that the power depends on the form of the regressor matrix and that, for the Durbin-Watson test...

Tests for shift detection in locally-stationary autoregressive time series are constructed which resist contamination by a substantial amount of outliers. Tests based on a comparison of local medians standardized by a highly robust estimate of the variability show reliable performance in a broad...

In a recent paper Lee and Na (2001) introduced a test for a parametric form of the distribution of the innovations in autoregressive models, which is based on the integrated squared error of the nonparametric density estimate from the residuals and a smoothed version of the parametric fit of the...

In the present study we investigate the data provided by the karstwater level monitoring system set up in the Transdanubian Mountains, more precisely in the Bakony, the Keszthelyi Mountains and the Balaton-Highland. (Here, like in the sequel, the term karstwater is used for groundwater in...

We study the drift of stationary diffusion processes in a time series analysis of the autoregression function. A marked empirical process measures the difference between the nonparametric regression functions of two time series. We bootstrap the distribution of a Kolmogorov-Smirnov-type test...

The present method allows to detect outlying observations in data which may be described by a deterministic function plus a stochastic component. This type of functional relationship often occurs in experimental data, in toxicological research, for instance. The Hampel identifier, an outlier...

Methods of dimension reduction are very helpful and almost a necessity if we want to analyze high-dimensional time series since otherwise modelling affords many parameters because of interactions at various time-lags. We use a dynamic version of Sliced Inverse Regression (SIR; Li (1991)), which...

Error measures for the evaluation of forecasts are usually based on the size of the forecast errors. Common measures are e.g. the Mean Squared Error (MSE), the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) or the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). Alternative measures for the comparison of forecasts are...