This paper uses Brazilian monthly tax burden time series as an input for a study of its recent dynamic determinants. The estimates shows that tax burden reached 33,4% of GDP in 2014 that is lower than 33,6% of 2005 and without trend of growth. In addition, it presents an analysis of tax policy...

This article aims to estimate the dynamic factor model for prediction tax receipts in Brazil using monthly data for the period 2001-2013. The factorial model allows to reduce the dimensionality of the high number of taxes taking into account the information contained in the existing...

This article evaluates the main effects for the Brazilian economy from the creation of a free trade zone among the BRICS economies. A welfare analysis suggests the Chinese economy to be the closest - in comparison to the remaining BRICS - to the definition of a natural trade partner for Brazil....

This article presents a linear econometric model with variable coefficients for the analysis of the quarterly dynamics of the Brazilian gross tax burden in the 1995-2008 years.The choice of this particular model was motivated by the constant changes made in the Brazilian tax system during these...

The aim of this article is to estimate a Bayesian factorial dynamic model for the analysis and forecasting of the Brazilian tax burden (BTB) using monthly data from 1996 to 2007. Twenty taxes are responsible for about 80% of the BTB, each of which with a distinct seasonal pattern The factorial...

This article analyses the evolution and the composition of gross aggregate tax burden and government transfers in Brazil and their relationships with equity and income distribution for the period 1995-2008. Along this period, gross aggregate tax burden grew considerably motivated by the...

This work analyses the evolution of the tributary structure and the constitution and organisation of the Brazilian revenue system in the long period from 1889 to 2009. It aims to identify, on one hand, the functions attributed to fiscal policy and to taxation, as well as how these State`s...

In this paper we investigate the macroeconomic and welfare effects of recent proposals to reduce the tax burden on the production sector in Brazil. We evaluate two specific policy measures: a) the replacement of social security taxes with a consumption tax; and b) the provision of tax incentives...

This article investigates the effects of fiscal policy shock in the Brazilian economy using quarterly data during the period between January/1995 and December/2007. We follow the agnostic procedure suggested by Mountford and Uhlig (2005) to verify separately the impact of the unexpected positive...

This paper aims to contribute to the debate on the best way to reduce the tax burden on the production sector in Brazil, by simulating an overlapping generations model calibrated to the country's economy. Our focus is on the comparison of the macroeconomic and welfare impacts brought about by...