The proposal is to discuss the dynamics of public debt and propose to carry out institutional changes in order to eliminate short-term logic dominant in the Brazilian financial market. The fall in real interest rates gave way to deepen recent changes in debt structure and eliminate the remaining...

This paper provides new evidence for the empirical literature that investigates the presence of political cycles in fiscal policy and, more precisely, public investments in Brazil. The approach differs from most of the studies for applying the state-space modeling. The greatest benefit is to...

This text aims to qualify the debate on the need for fiscal adjustment in Brazil, showing that the trend that takes place - at this conjuncture, as in other past - a low quality setting, based on cutting investments and / or increased tax burden, it is almost inevitable in the face of public...

This paper aims to contribute to the debate on possible changes in the Brazilian tax system in the light of recent experience of the European Union (EU) and the United Kingdom, with regard to tax rules. International evidence indicates, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Fiscal...

This discussion paper intends to complement the analyzes carried out in Gobetti (2015), updating the diagnosis of the development of fiscal balances of the Brazilian public sector from the new series of GDP released by IBGE and statistics "above the line" that incorporate regional level of...

In the recent debate on the Brazilian growth model, the accuracy of the economic tripod (inflation targeting, primary fiscal target and floating exchange rate regimes) was pointed out as being responsible for the lowering of Brazilian economic growth and as a hindrance to its development....

This paper provides new evidence for the empirical literature that investigates the presence of political cycles in public investments in Brazil. This approach differs from most of the studies for applying the state-space modeling whose greatest benefit is estimating the cyclical component...

The objective of this paper is to analyze the role of fiscal policy in the determinants of the sovereign spreads of a group of 23 emerging market countries in the period 1995-2008 focusing on two matters: i) fiscal policy sustainability, known as the accumulation of primary budget surplus, that...

This paper analyses primary revenue, primary expenditure, public investment and public consumption from Brazilian federal government by Markov Switching Vector Autorregressive methodology (MS-VAR), investigating if these fiscal variables are procyclical or countercyclical in relation to Brazil...