We present projections of the trade and current account balances for Brazil in the period 2001/03. We show that external deficits shall persist during this period; given an international environment characterized by decreasing capital flows (especially those directed to emerging economies), this...

The monetary authorities need a future measure of inflation trend to keep on tracking the inflation on target. Many alternatives of the core inflation measure have appeared in the recent literature pretending to avoid the deficiencies of the usual headline inflation index as a predictor. This...