This paper endeavors to contribute to the debate on the relevance of non-linear forecasts in the financial markets. To that end, this study forecasts the Yen-based Ringgit by using the Exponential Smooth Transition Autoregressive (ESTAR) model. When formally assessed for forecast accuracy, the...

Understanding the degree of integration between India and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) is important to measure the impact of the proposed India-ASEAN Free Trade Area (FTA). If both India and ASEAN are well integrated, the impact of such liberalization will be small and vice...

The major finding of this study is that the long run purchasing power parity (PPP) deviations of the major ASEAN exchange rates exhibit nonlinear adjustment which may be characterised by the Smooth Transition Autoregressive (STAR) model. This finding warrants us that policy decision based on...

The Phillips curve trade-off between output and inflation has for long been a debatable issue in the study of macroeconomics. Both new classical and new Keynesian approaches give contending views in explaining the determinants of the trade-off. The main aim of this study is to investigate...

: In this paper, the linearity and stationarity of the real exchange rates of India, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka are investigated using formal linearity and the recently developed nonlinear stationary test procedures. Results obtained show that these real exchange rates are stationary despite...

This paper looks at bound test approach for cointegration analysis, to verify the stability of Singaporean real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), to construct the Monetary Conditions Index (MCI) over the quarterly period 1981:1-2004:4. The bounds test confirms a long-run equilibrium relationship...