This article documents 20 years of performance of commercial real estate in the United States using a portfolio of properties that comprise the widely followed NCREIF Property Index (NPI). We develop an extension of the repeated-measures regression (RMR) to produce an improved version of the...

This article presents a methodology for producing a quarterly transactions-based index (TBI) of property-level investment performance for U.S. institutional real estate. Indices are presented for investment periodic total returns and capital appreciation (or price-changes) for the major property...

A vector autoregressive model is developed for predicting cash flow and returns in the private (unsecuritized) commercial property markets. The model predicts both of these variables quite well during the sample period. The forecasting model is then used to develop a simple "buy/sell" rule for...